Betting Tips

Newmarket Horse Racing Tendencies & Suggestions: Friday ninth Oct 2020

Extra LIVE ITV horse racing on Friday ninth October for day one of many two-day Dubai Future Champions Pageant at Newmarket. Lots to get caught into with the Group One Guess365 Fillies’ Mile the clear characteristic race, however with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Problem Stakes supporting then there’s a lot to look ahead to.

As all the time we’ll have all of the LIVE races coated from a traits angle – use these to seek out the perfect profiles of previous winners – Get pleasure from!

 

Newmarket – Friday ninth October 2020

 

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Mission Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV3

15/17 – Had gained over 5f beforehand
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/17 – Rated 98 or extra
13/17 – Successful distance – 1 ½ or much less
13/17 – Received at the least twice or extra earlier than
12/17 – Ran throughout the final 30 days
12/17 – Had raced 5 or extra occasions
11/17 – Foaled in March or later
10/17 – Completed 1st or 2nd of their final race
10/17 – Had gained a Listed or Group race earlier than
8/17 – Filly winners
6/17 – Raced at Ayr final day out
6/17 – Received their final race
5/17 – Successful favourites
4/17 – Raced at Doncaster final day out
3/17 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
2 of the final 6 winners educated by Jonathan Portman
2 of the final 11 winners educated by Kevin Ryan
2 of the final 11 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the final Three winners got here from stall 3
Three of the final 5 winners got here from stalls 11 or larger
The common successful SP within the final 10 runnings is 15/2

JUICESTORM VERDICT: With 2 of the final Three winners coming from stall 3, then it is perhaps value taking an opportunity on the William Haggas-trained ROYAL ADDRESS (e/w) right here. Okay, this 2 year-old has a bit to seek out on the scores with a few of these, however she appears a filly on the up having gained her final three. The newest of these was a Listed win in France, so deserves to take her likelihood on this G3, plus that additionally got here on heavy floor, so the softer circumstances right here will likely be nice. Of the remaining, Technique is the top-rated within the subject however must bounce again from a really poor run final day out – albeit within the G1 Center Park Stakes. He’s clearly higher than that and can discover this drop in grade simpler, whereas his saddle slipped final time too so did have an excuse. Ryan Moore booked to trip the Nigel Tinkler runner – Acklam Specific – stands out too. He’s a Listed winner at York, however was additionally crushed at that stage final day out at Donny so wants extra for me. Bahrain Satisfaction, Burning Money, Atalis Bay and the constant Nomadic Empire are others which have the shape to go nicely, however the different decide is WINTER POWER (e/w). The Tim Easterby yard gained this race in 2011 and look to have one other good likelihood right here. She beat Nomadic Empire and First Firm in a Listed race at Ayr final day out and thus far, has gained Three of her 6 races. Sure, she’s tasted defeat to Acklam Specific a couple of occasions, however heads into this race in barely higher kind and the 3lbs fillies’ allowance is an additional bonus.

 

2.25 – Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV3

15/16 – Had raced within the final 5 weeks
15/16 – Positioned within the high Three final day out
14/16 – Had between 1-2 wins already
14/16 – Had between 1-Three profession runs
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter within the betting
12/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or larger
12/16 – Received final day out
12/16 – Foaled in March or later
12/16 – Successful distance – 1 size or much less
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had gained over 7f or additional earlier than
8/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter within the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket final day out
4/16 – Successful favourites
2/16 – Skilled by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Skilled by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Skilled by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Skilled by Roger Varian (2 of final Three winners)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The common successful SP within the final 10 runnings is 8/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The Roger Varian yard have gained this race twice within the final three years they usually look to have one other good likelihood this 12 months with Setarhe and NAZUNA. Each have doe nicely this season and the previous can also be a confirmed course winner right here. Nonetheless, she’s additionally been crushed each occasions she’s tried this 7f journey – that’s a fear for me. In distinction, Nazuna has gained over this journey up to now and likewise recorded a stable second over this distance within the G2 Rockfel Stakes at this monitor final time. She will even be ridden by Andrea Atzeni and this additionally represents a slight drop in grade. The Hannon yard even have a good report within the race so their Thank You Subsequent will likely be making an attempt so as to add to that, whereas with Ryan Moore using the Joseph O’Brien runner Considering Of You, she’s positive to draw curiosity too. She gained on debut at Limerick final month and ran nicely at this stage (third) final day out on the Curragh. However the different one in every of curiosity is the Jane Chapple-Hyam runner – SAFFRON BEACH. She’s the one CD winner within the subject after bolting-up in a maiden right here final month and had some honest types in behind that day too. Sure, this can be a massive step up in school, however she did it very nicely and may solely have discovered lots from that too. You are feeling that if she was educated by one of many showcase yards, she’d be lots shorter within the betting.

 

3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Steady Awards Problem Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV3

17/17 – Received a Listed or Group race beforehand
17/17 – Received over 7f beforehand
17/17 – Raced Three or extra occasions that season
15/17 – Received by a horse aged 5 or youthful
14/17 – Received Three or extra occasions beforehand
14/17 – Winners from stall 10 or decrease
13/17 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) beforehand
13/17 – Successful distance – 1 size or extra
13/17 – Formally rated 113 or larger
11/17 – Priced 7/1 or decrease
9/17 – Positioned of their final race
9/17 – Favourites positioned
8/17 – Received at Newmarket (Rowley) beforehand
6/17 – Raced at both Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) final day out
5/17 – Received their earlier race
5/17 – Favourites that gained
2/17 – Skilled by Henry Sweet
1/17 – Filly/Mare winners
Limato has gained the race in 2017, 2018 and was runner-up in 2019
The common successful SP within the final 10 runnings is 9/2

JUICESTORM VERDICT: A really open trying Group Two, with many probabilities. Superb Journey received again to successful methods at Newbury final day out however that was in a Listed race and I feel this step again right into a G2 will make life more durable for him. Pogo is a course winner and having run Persian King to three ¾ lengths in France two runs again is stable kind after that horse ran so nicely within the Arc final weekend – however he’s nonetheless to win at Group stage. Godolphin’s Zakouski is unexposed with simply 4 profession runs, however has gained his final two nicely in Dubai over a mile so may very well be harmful over this 7f journey is allowed to dictate. Khaloosy hasn’t actually progressed after trying spectacular within the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot – has a bit to show, for me, however the drop in journey may very well be attention-grabbing after operating a bit free lately. Completely happy Energy has finished little fallacious in successful his final two and has an opportunity, whereas Ryan Moore using the German-trained Namos will stand out – however staying this 7f journey on softer floor can be a priority. That leaves us with DAAHYEH. This Three year-old has not been out since operating second within the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filles’ Turf, however on a plus will likely be recent for this and has run nicely up to now recent. She’s additionally a CD winner on the monitor after successful the Rockfel Stakes right here final season and ran the stylish Love shut on the Curragh final September too. She’ll get a useful 5lbs off many of the others too in order that additional provides to her likelihood, with the Roger Varian yard positive to have her able to run an enormous race.

 

3.35 – Guess365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV3

16/16 – Completed within the first three final day out
16/16 – Had raced within the final Four weeks
15/16- But to win a Group 1
14/16 – Completed within the first two final day out
14/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
14/16 – Had gained over 7f or 1m earlier than
12/16 – Had gained between 2-Three occasions earlier than
12/16 – Favourites that completed within the high three
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter within the betting
11/16 – Received final day out
10/16 – Had gained a Group race earlier than
9/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/16 – Raced at Doncaster final day out
7/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Successful favourites (or joint)
6/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 – Skilled by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – US bred
3/16 – Received by coach John Gosden
3/16 – Received by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Four of the final 6 winners have been Irish-trained
The common successful SP within the final 10 runnings is 13/2

JUICESTORM VERDICT: A pleasant renewal of this Group One. Isabella Giles was a high winner of the G2 Rockfel Stakes right here final day out however she is stepping as much as 1m right here (from 7f) in a greater race so I’d desire to have seen her over the journey actually. Ingo Lady has gained each her begins and appears one other star within the making for the John Gosden yard. She beat Dubai Fountain by ¾ of a size within the Might Hill Stakes final day out and has kind on comfortable floor too – she ought to uphold that kind. We’ve most likely not seen the perfect of her but, however she has appeared a bit inexperienced in her races. Fairly Attractive is an enormous participant too – she is but to complete out of the primary two from 4 races and the softer floor right here ought to be extra to her liking than final time on the Curragh. Nonetheless, she was crushed final day out by the Aidan O’Brien-trained SHALE and I feel the shape may be upheld. That came visiting 7f, however based mostly on her breeding Shale appears the kind to enhance additional now she’s being stepped as much as a mile once more. She gained simply over this journey again in July, however has since been operating over 7f and regardless that she doesn’t lack tempo I feel on this softer floor her stamina ought to come into play. Ryan Moore additionally rode her for the primary time final time and stays within the saddle – it goes with out saying that’s an enormous plus.

 

4.10 – Guess365 Outdated Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV3

6 earlier runnings
5/6 – Had gained at the least twice earlier than
5/6 – Carried 9-Zero or much less in weight
5/6 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
4/6 – Had raced within the final 5 weeks
4/6 – Completed 1st or 2nd final day out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock final day out
2/6 – Priced 8/1 within the betting
2/6 – Ridden by William Buick
2/6 – Got here from stall 17
1/6 – successful favourites
Coach Ralph Becket gained the race final season
The common successful SP within the final 6 runnings is 13/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: 17 runners heading to put up right here in what appears a really aggressive contest. With two of the final six winners coming from stall 17, then this may very well be deemed a plus for the Hugo Palmer runner – DOUBLING DICE. This Three year-old bolted-up at Hamilton two runs in the past and adopted that up with one other win at Haydock final time. He’s up 6lbs for the final of these wins however that current success was made even higher as he stumbled at the beginning. He additionally most likely gained with greater than the ½ size in-hand, whereas 50% of the final 6 winners additionally raced at Haydock final day out. Galata Bridge, Shandoz and Luncies have been all good winners final day out and must be thought of too, whereas Surrey Satisfaction caught the attention in successful his race at Chester final time, however is up 6lbs right here and likewise making an attempt this longer journey for the primary time. Nevertheless it’s a race jockey William Buick has additionally finished nicely in – successful two of the final 6 – so his mount – CEPHEUS (e/w) – is the opposite of curiosity. This Three year-old was solely ¾ of a size behind the better-fancied Shandoz final time at Ascot, however has a 2lbs pull for that so there may be each likelihood there gained’t be lots between the pair once more right here. Of the remaining, coach Alan King gained this race final 12 months and has a 40% report together with his Three year-olds on the monitor – he runs TRITONIC, whereas the John Gosden camp boast a 22% report with their Three year-olds right here so their Frankel gelding INDIGO LAKE, who gained nicely at Newcastle final day out, is one other to control within the betting.

 

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