Betting Tips

Free Horse Racing Tips & Trends: Sun 27th Dec 2020

No let-up for the top-class racing action over the festive period with another huge day of National Hunt action on Sunday 27th December.

The ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races for the second and final day of their Winter Festival, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Welsh National – Did you know 16 of the last 18 Welsh National winners were aged 9 or younger, and 11 of the last 18 winners carried 10-8 or less in weight?

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on JUICESTORM with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get going!

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.20 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – 1st or 2nd last time out
8/9 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
8/9 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Favourites placed in top 2
7/9 – Irish or French bred
7/9 – Won last time out
6/9 – Aged 5 years-old
4/9 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Winning favourite
2/9 – Had won over fences at Kempton before

 

1.55 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
11/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
9/13 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
8/13 – Won over 3m previously
6/13 – Won their last race
6/13 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/13 – Ran at the track previously
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/13 – Aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/13 – Run at the track previously
9/13 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
9/13 – Winning favourites
9/13 – Officially Rated 160+
7/13 – French bred
7/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Bun Doran (4/1) won the race in 2019
Altior (1/8 fav) won the race in 2018

 

3.05 – Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
12/13 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
10/13 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
8/13 – Favourites Unplaced
5/13 – Officially Rated between 122-129
5/13 – Ran at Kempton previously
5/13 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
4/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
3/13 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/13 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

1.05 – Watch Racing For Free At Coral Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

16/17 – French (9) or Irish (7) bred
15/17 – Won over 2 ½ miles (fences) previously
14/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
11/17 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/17 – Placed in the first three last time out
8/17 – Aged 7 or younger
6/17 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
6/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Mann
2/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/17 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
Tiguer won this race in 2019
Doitforthevillage won this race in 2018
Aso won this race in 2016

1.40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV4

15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Won between 0-2 times previously
11/16 – French bred
9/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at the track previously
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King

 

2.15 – Coral ‘Fail To Finish’ Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f

16/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
15/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/18 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
13/18 – Irish bred
13/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/18 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/18 – Ran at Chepstow previously
10/18 – Won over 3m previously
9/18 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-11 in weight
8/18 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/18 – Won their last race
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

 

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

18/18 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/18 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
16/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/18 – Aged 8 or younger
12/18 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – French bred
6/18 – Had run in the Welsh National before
5/18 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

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