Betting Tips

Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 17th July 2021

This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Betway Summer Plate Chase (2.40) and Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.05) the feature contests.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (4.00) tops the bill – a race 14 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Like all big race days, here at JUICESTORM we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Reg as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

 

12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/16 – Had run at the track before
6/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won last time out
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.25 – Bahrain Turf Series Cup (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

 

Just three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/3 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
1/3 – Winning favourites
Reshoun (14/1) won the race in 2020, Ian Williams
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins
Jockey James Doyle has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is only 1 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3:00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

 

16/17 – Won over 6f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winners from stall 8
2/17 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 6)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
Tabdeed (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2020
8 of the last 10 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.40 – Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

 

16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Won 1-2 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Won by a Feb or March foal
9/17 – Irish bred winners
9/17 – Won by a filly
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018 and 2020
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 – Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

 

16/19 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/19 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/19 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Winning favourites
13 of the last 14 winners carried 11-5 or less
10 of the last 15 winners carried 11-0 or less
9 of the last 15 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Force One (5/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

2.40 – Betway Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

18/19 – Had run within the last 3 months
17/19 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
16/19 – Aged 7 or older
13/19 – Had won 2 or more chases before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
11/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/19 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/19 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 10)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
10 of the last 13 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

3.10 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/6 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
5/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Won over 3m+ hurdles before
4/6 – Rated between 126-134
3/6 – Unplaced last time out
2/6 – Had run at the track before
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/1

 

 

 

 

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